Friday, 13 March 2020

Coronavirus V The Economy!!

        Do you have confidence in the UK Governments approach to the coronavirus and the protection of the people? Or do you believe that the government has other factors that it puts before the health and welfare of the people? Could it be, that thing that is treated as an entity above human value, "the economy" is being protected at the risk to human well-being? Big money must be protected as much as possible to unsure they hold onto their power and privileges. Is there a policy of doing what they can for the people with the minimal damage to the "economy"? After all it is a capitalist economy and that must be protected at all costs.
 I like the quote from Moon of Alabama
Our dear leaders are following the four stage strategy (vid):

In stage one: we say "Nothing is going to happen".

Stage two: we say something may be going to happen but we should do nothing about it.

Stage three: We say maybe we should do something about it but there is nothing we can do.

Stage four: We say maybe there was something that could have been done but it is too late now.
      It is not as if they didn't have fore knowledge of this virus, after all it was in early January that Chine and the world became aware of what was happening. Again a quote from Moon of Alabama
       Yascha Mounk follows my argument and gives a reasonable advice on what we can do to make this as pandemic as survivable as possible. Shut everything down that can be shut down. Increase social distance as much as possible. Avoid all live social contacts wherever possible. Do it NOW!
      One Tomas Pueyo explains in detail why we must do this immediately. (I checked his numbers and find no faults with them.)
       Wuhan city in China was shut down on January 23. Twelve days later, on February 4, the newly confirmed cases in Wuhan reached their peak and declined from there. This gives us the time delay from an infection to become a diagnosed and counted case as the shutdown increased the social distance and lowered the number of new infections.
      Each newly infected person itself infected two or three other persons. The growth rate was thereby exponential until they shut the city down. Had the city not been shut down on January 23 the numbers beyond February 4 would have gone higher and higher. That will happen in our cities and countries as our authorities are unwilling or unable to act as early and as decisively as the Chinese authorities did.
      Two days later, authorities shut down Wuhan. At that point, the number of diagnosed daily new cases was ~400. Note that number: they made a decision to close the city with just 400 new cases in a day. In reality, there were 2,500 new cases that day, but they didn’t know that.
      This means that we must all act now because today the numbers in Washington state and elsewhere are already exploding even though we do not know yet how high they really are. Those people who do get infected today will only become official cases twelve or more days from now when they will (hopefully) be diagnosed and counted.
       The key thing to do now is 'social distancing'. As our governments do not act decisively to achieve that it is our personal responsibility to do that ourselves. Everyone must do this to the best of their abilities.
       These numbers are not fantasies but today's reality:
       So there you have it, one set of opinions, our question should be, were our governments thinking first and foremost of the health and well-being of the people or did they have other concerns in mind, the economy, for example, when they embarked on their "plan" or did our capitalist masters abandon their capitalist beliefs and throw everything they could at the protection the people at all costs, or was there just a lack of any kind of plan?
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